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How policy strain and trade frictions will shape the 2026 economic outlook

As growth cools and policy uncertainty deepens, investors in digital infrastructure face a shifting landscape where tariffs, fiscal restraint and green regulation decide who keeps pace - and who falls behind.

By João Marques Lima

Founder and Editor, The Tech Capital

9 Mins

The global economy enters 2026 on a weaker footing. Paris-based OECD projects world GDP growth to ease from 3.3% in 2024 to 3.2% in 2025 and 2.9% in 2026, as higher tariffs, reduced front-loading of production and policy uncertainty weigh on trade and investment. 

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João Marques Lima

Founder and Editor, The Tech Capital

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